Sunday, October 24, 2010

Retail Segment analysis


      The structure of Indian retail is developing rapidly with shopping malls becoming increasingly common in the large cities and development plans being projected at 150 new shopping malls by 2008. However, the traditional formats like hawkers, grocers and tobacconist shops continue to co-exist with the modern formats of retailing.
      Modern retailing has helped the companies to increase the consumption of their products for example: Indian consumers would normally consume the rice sold at the nearby kiranas viz. Kolam for daily use. With the introduction of organized retail, it has been noticed that the sale of Basmati rice has gone up by four times than it was a few years back; as a superior quality rice (Basmati) is now available at almost the same price as the normal rice at a local kirana. Thus, the way a product is displayed and promoted influences its sales. If the consumption continues to grow this way it can be said that the local market would go through a metamorphoses of a change and the local stores would soon become the things of the past or restricted to last minute unplanned buying.

1 . Food and grocery retail

      The food business in India is largely unorganized adding up to barely Rs.400 billion, with other large players adding another 50 per cent to that. The All India food consumption is close to Rs.9,000 billion, with the total urban consumption being around Rs.3,300 billion.
      This means that aggregate revenues of large food players is currently only 5 per cent of the total Indian market, and around 15-20 per cent of total urban food consumption. Most food is sold in the local ‘wet’ market, vendors, roadside push cart sellers or tiny kirana stores. According to McKinsey report, the share of an Indian household's spending on food is one of the highest in the world, with 48 per cent of income being
spent on food and beverages.

2.  Apparel retail

       The ready-mades and western outfits are growing at 40-45 per cent annually, as the market teems up with international brands and new entrants entering this segment creating an Rs.5 billion market for the premium grooming segment. The past few years has seen the sector aligning itself with global trends with retailing companies like Shoppers’ stop and Crossroads entering the fray to entice the middle class. However, it is estimated that this segment would grow to Rs. 3 billion in the next three years.

3.  Gems and Jewellery retail

      The gems and jewellery market is the key emerging area, accounting for a high proportion of retail spends. India is the largest consumer of gold in the world with an estimated annual consumption of 1000 tonnes, considering actual imports and recycled gold. The market for jewellery is estimated as upwards of Rs. 650 billion.

4.  Pharmaceutical retail
 
       The pharma retailing is estimated at about Rs. 300 billion, with 15 per cent of the 51 lakh retail stores in India being chemists. Pharma retailing will follow the trend of becoming more organised and corporatised as is seen in other retailing formats (food, apparel etc).
       A few corporates who have already forayed into this segment include Dr Morepen (with Lifespring and soon to be launched Tango), Medicine Shoppe, Apollo pharmacies, 98.4 from Global Healthline Pvt Ltd, and the recently launched CRS Health from SAK Industries. In the south, RPG group’s Health & Glow is already in this category, though it is not a pure play pharma retailer but more in the health and beauty care business.

5.  Music Retail

       The size of the Indian music industry, as per this Images-KSA Study, is estimated at Rs.11 billion of which about 36 percent is consumed by the pirated market and organized music retailing constitutes about 14 percent, equivalent to Rs.1.5 billion.

6. Book retail

       The book industry is estimated at over Rs. 30 billion out of which organized retail accounts for only 7 per cent (at Rs.2.10 billion). This segment is seen to be emerging with text and curriculum books accounting to about 50 per cent of the total sales. The gifting habit in India is catching on fast with books enjoying a significant share, thus expecting this sector to grow by 15 per cent annually.

7.  Consumer durables retail

       The consumer durables market can be stratified into consumer electronics comprising of TV sets, audio systems, VCD players and others; and appliances like washing machines, microwave ovens, air conditioners (A/Cs). The existing size of this sector stands at an estimated US$ 4.5 Billion with organized retailing being at 5 per cent.

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